US Election polls tracker live: Trump slips again as Biden soars into the lead

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With just two months to go before the US presidential election, former vice-president of the Barack Obama administration Joe Biden is polling ahead of Republican nominee president Donald Trump in key battleground states. Following President Trump’s 2016 victory, which sent shockwaves through the world, many Americans, including supporters of Mr Biden, are apt to mistrust the polls, especially at the state level. While National Polls are a great guide to measure a candidate’s popularity, they are not necessarily the best at predicting an election outcome.

For example, in the last election, Hilary Clinton led in the polls and won almost three million more votes that President Trump – but she still lost the presidency.

This is because the US uses an electoral college system, meaning winning the most votes does not always mean you will win the election.

As it stands, however, the polls show Mr Biden is ahead of Mr Trump, having had a 10-point lead on some occasions.

The latest poll from Fox News suggests that Mr Biden stands at 51 percent while Mr Trump holds 46 percent, among both likely and registered voters.

It is worth noting that Democrat candidate Hilary Clinton never hit 51 percent in the polls in the last election – indicating a promising future for Mr Biden.

In Wisconsin, where President Trump won by a razor thin margin in 2016, Mr Biden currently holds a 6-point lead.

Florida, where coronavirus confirmed cases and deaths soared over the past few months, Mr Biden leads Mr Trump by an estimated 4 percentage points.

Mr Biden also holds a narrow lead in Arizona, a state in which only one Democratic candidate has won the presidency in the last 70 years.

The Democrat candidate holds an even narrower one in the traditionally Republican North Carolina, which has voted in nine out of the last 10 of the party’s presidential candidates.

In Texas, the difference in poll numbers between the two candidates is less than five percentage points, also hinting at a very close race in November in the historically Republican state.

The polls suggest Mr Biden is also ahead in Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin – three industrial states that Mr Trump won by margins of less than one percent in 2016.

White seniors, a demographic that helped propel Mr Trump to the White House four years ago, have shown signs of disapproval towards the sitting President’s handling of the pandemic.

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As trying presidents have discovered in the past, the number of votes you win is less important than where you win them.

Most states nearly always vote the same way, meaning in reality, there’s only a handful of states where both candidates stand a chance of winning.

These are the primary places where the election will be won and lost, and are known as battleground states.

As it stands, polls in the battleground states are favouring Mr Biden, doubtlessly causing some concern for Mr Trump and his campaign team.

Has coronavirus affected the polls?

The coronavirus has undoubtedly affected the polls, with people divided on the topic of President Trump’s coronavirus response.

Support for his approach peaked in March after he declared a national emergency and made £50billion available in state aid.

At that point, 55 percent of Americans were polled to approve of his actions, according to data from leading polling firm Ipsos.

By July, the data suggests the President’s own supporters had started questioning his response, but there was a slight upturn at the end of August.

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